The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/19/2024 -
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SPDR Retail (XRT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Weekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineBroken trend support line
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It was the negative week for the SPDR Retail (XRT). During the week, the XRT gave back -0.71 points, or -0.99%, and closed at 71.17 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was 34% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XRT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 16, 2021 at 104.26 and reached 55.33 on September 30, 2022. XRT lost 48.93 points, or 46.93%, in 45 weeks. The chart has formed a Descending Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (57.36) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XRT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 55.33 and reached 79.12 on April 1, 2024. XRT gained -23.79 points, or -43.00%, in 78 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (58.33) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XRT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XRT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2023 at 57.48 and reached 79.12 on April 1, 2024. XRT gained -21.64 points, or -37.65%, in 178 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (76.52) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. XRT may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XRT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 1, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 12.31
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.07
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 8.47
Strong Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.70
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 53.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 59.14
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 52.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.88
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 80.39
Monthly Trendline Resistance 80.06
Upper Bollinger Band 78.94
Weekly Trendline Support 76.52
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 74.85
50 Day Moving Average 74.81
20 Day Moving Average 74.51
Parabolic System 72.48
Price 71.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 70.66
Lower Bollinger Band 68.11
Monthly Trendline Support 59.43
Quarterly Trendline Support 58.33
Yearly Trendline Support 57.36
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Low 70.22
Low Date 04/16/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 80.39
Support 76.52
Low 57.48
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 80.06
Support 59.43
Low 56.20
Low Date 06/01/2023
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 56.03
Support 58.33
Low 55.33
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 79.12
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Descending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 47.28
Support 57.36
High 104.26
High Date 11/16/2021
Low 55.33
Low Date 09/30/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.