The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorTrend resistance at 250.78Broken trend support line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the Illinois Tool Works (ITW). During the week, the ITW dropped -3.05 points, or -1.20%, and closed at 250.46 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was 31% above average.

ITW is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ITW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 16, 2009 at 25.60 and reached 271.10 on March 22, 2024. ITW gained -245.50 points, or -958.98%, in 783 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (250.78). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ITW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 24, 2023 at 217.50 and reached 271.10 on March 22, 2024. ITW gained -53.60 points, or -24.64%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (274.45) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. ITW may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ITW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 5, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ITW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 22, 2024 at 271.10 and reached 248.08 on April 18, 2024. ITW lost 23.02 points, or 8.49%, in 27 days. The price is now at the 10.34% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ITW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 28, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 17.37
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.27
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.14
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.79
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 66.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 58.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Support 274.45
Monthly Trendline Resistance 273.20
Upper Bollinger Band 270.77
50 Day Moving Average 260.30
20 Day Moving Average 260.18
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 259.64
Parabolic System 253.05
Yearly Trendline Resistance 250.78
Price 250.46
Daily Stochastic Crossing 248.89
Lower Bollinger Band 244.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 8
Industry Industrial Machinery 97
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 269.69
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 248.08
Low Date 04/18/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 271.10
High Date 03/22/2024
Low 248.08
Low Date 04/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 273.20
Support 274.45
Low 217.50
Low Date 10/24/2023
High 271.10
High Date 03/22/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 173.52
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 271.10
High Date 03/22/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 250.78
Support 150.32
Low 25.60
Low Date 03/16/2009
High 271.10
High Date 03/22/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.