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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (XOP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBullish Piercing Line CandlestickThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration & Production (XOP). During the week, the XOP dropped -4.75 points, or -3.01%, and closed at 153.23 on Friday, April 19, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since January 19, 2024. Weekly volume was -10% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XOP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on August 19, 2021 at 71.48 and reached 170.62 on June 8, 2022. XOP gained -99.14 points, or -138.70%, in 41 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (129.01) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XOP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 14, 2022 at 161.42 and reached 114.16 on March 16, 2023. XOP lost 47.26 points, or 29.28%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (130.36) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XOP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 23, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XOP short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 162.49 and reached 151.09 on April 18, 2024. XOP lost 11.40 points, or 7.02%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 18.77% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XOP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 11, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See XOP candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern. This pattern suggests bulls have begun to take charge of the market, and shorts have been shaken by the sudden lost of bearish momentum. The reliability of the Bullish Piercing Line pattern is moderate. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Piercing Line Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.70
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.23
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.93
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.75
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.42
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.84
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 165.06
Upper Bollinger Band 161.00
Parabolic System 160.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 159.74
20 Day Moving Average 155.91
Price 153.23
Daily Stochastic Crossing 152.59
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 149.61
Lower Bollinger Band 147.30
50 Day Moving Average 147.14
Yearly Trendline Resistance 146.43
Monthly Trendline Support 134.64
Quarterly Trendline Support 130.36
Yearly Trendline Support 129.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 162.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 151.09
Low Date 04/18/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 162.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 151.09
Low Date 04/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 165.06
Support 134.64
Low 126.59
Low Date 01/18/2024
High 162.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 149.61
Support 130.36
High 161.42
High Date 11/14/2022
Low 114.16
Low Date 03/16/2023
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 146.43
Support 129.01
Low 71.48
Low Date 08/19/2021
High 170.62
High Date 06/08/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.