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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Phillips 66 (PSX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Phillips 66 (PSX). During the week, the PSX dropped -7.78 points, or -4.79%, and closed at 154.71 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was -31% below average.

PSX is a member of Energy Sector. Energy is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PSX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 40.04 and reached 174.08 on April 5, 2024. PSX gained -134.04 points, or -334.77%, in 211 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (97.76) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PSX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2023 at 89.74 and reached 174.08 on April 5, 2024. PSX gained -84.34 points, or -93.98%, in 41 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 153.59 and resistance is at 156.21. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PSX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 24, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PSX short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 5, 2024 at 174.08 and reached 152.72 on April 18, 2024. PSX lost 21.36 points, or 12.27%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 9.32% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PSX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 9, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 5.73
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.38
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.83
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 36.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.98
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 68.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.39
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 171.26
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 166.59
20 Day Moving Average 162.64
Parabolic System 162.27
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 156.21
Price 154.71
50 Day Moving Average 154.11
Quarterly Trendline Support 153.59
Daily Stochastic Crossing 153.50
Lower Bollinger Band 148.64
Yearly Trendline Resistance 132.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Energy 12
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 108
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 174.08
High Date 04/05/2024
Low 152.72
Low Date 04/18/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 174.08
High Date 04/05/2024
Low 152.72
Low Date 04/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 107.85
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 174.08
High Date 04/05/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 156.21
Support 153.59
Low 89.74
Low Date 06/23/2023
High 174.08
High Date 04/05/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 132.59
Support 97.76
Low 40.04
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 174.08
High Date 04/05/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.