The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Microsoft Corp. (MSFT). During the week, the MSFT dropped -22.78 points, or -5.40%, and closed at 399.12 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

Long-term trend: [See MSFT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 4, 2022 at 213.43 and reached 430.82 on March 21, 2024. MSFT gained -217.39 points, or -101.86%, in 71 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 370.91 and resistance is at 500.43. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MSFT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 21, 2024 at 430.82 and reached 397.77 on April 19, 2024. MSFT lost 33.05 points, or 7.67%, in 4 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MSFT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MSFT short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 11, 2024 at 429.37 and reached 397.77 on April 19, 2024. MSFT lost 31.60 points, or 7.36%, in 8 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MSFT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 27, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 80.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 4.40
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.97
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.03
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.06
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 70.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.17
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 20.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 431.13
Parabolic System 424.86
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 419.91
20 Day Moving Average 419.63
50 Day Moving Average 415.05
Lower Bollinger Band 401.43
Daily Stochastic Crossing 399.40
Price 399.12
Quarterly Trendline Support 370.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 5
Industry Application Software 35
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 429.37
High Date 04/11/2024
Low 397.77
Low Date 04/19/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 430.82
High Date 03/21/2024
Low 397.77
Low Date 04/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 309.45
Low Date 09/28/2023
High 430.82
High Date 03/21/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 500.43
Support 370.91
Low 213.43
Low Date 11/04/2022
High 430.82
High Date 03/21/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 14.87
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 430.82
High Date 03/21/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.