The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Support

Uptrend Support stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Support stock alert indicates that price is near long-term support trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high. The strategy here is to take advantage of established uptrend price pullback and entering the long position just prior to the continuation of the trend. The strategy has relatively low risk.

Uptrend Support

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- 5/10/2024 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtBearish Downside Tasuki Gap CandlestickDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARTrend support at 215.58
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR gained 7.04 points, or 3.37%, and closed at 215.76 on Friday, May 10, 2024. Weekly volume was -17% below average.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 217.77 on May 8, 2024. PGR gained -208.01 points, or -2131.25%, in 791 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (42.91) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 217.77 on May 8, 2024. PGR gained -195.24 points, or -866.58%, in 535 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (124.73) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 25, 2023. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 15, 2023 at 149.14 and reached 217.77 on May 8, 2024. PGR gained -68.63 points, or -46.02%, in 145 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (215.58) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See PGR candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern. This is a rare continuation formation that appears in a strongly downward moving market. The reliability of the Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 25.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.37
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.29
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.22
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.98
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.83
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 14.56 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 227.26
Upper Bollinger Band 217.42
Price 215.76
Weekly Trendline Support 215.58
Daily Stochastic Crossing 215.54
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 215.09
20 Day Moving Average 211.33
Parabolic System 209.89
50 Day Moving Average 206.35
Lower Bollinger Band 204.85
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 9
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 94
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 204.65
Low Date 05/03/2024
High 217.77
High Date 05/08/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 227.26
Support 215.58
Low 149.14
Low Date 12/15/2023
High 217.77
High Date 05/08/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 111.41
Low Date 07/14/2023
High 217.77
High Date 05/08/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 147.82
Support 124.73
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 217.77
High Date 05/08/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 50.35
Support 42.91
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 217.77
High Date 05/08/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.