The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/26/2024 -
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AvalonBay Communities (AVB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the AvalonBay Communities (AVB). During the week, the AVB gained 7.32 points, or 3.98%, and closed at 191.45 on Friday, April 26, 2024. Weekly volume was 17% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AVB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 30, 2023 at 160.45 and reached 196.07 on April 26, 2024. AVB gained -35.62 points, or -22.20%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (177.87) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AVB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 13, 2024 at 169.37 and reached 196.07 on April 26, 2024. AVB gained -26.70 points, or -15.76%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 17.30% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AVB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since March 1, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AVB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 16, 2024 at 177.40 and reached 196.07 on April 26, 2024. AVB gained -18.67 points, or -10.52%, in 10 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AVB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.51
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.42
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.94
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.84
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 193.87
Upper Bollinger Band 193.70
Price 191.45
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 190.57
Monthly Trendline Resistance 188.22
20 Day Moving Average 184.49
50 Day Moving Average 182.50
Parabolic System 179.48
Monthly Trendline Support 177.87
Lower Bollinger Band 177.30
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 3
Industry REIT - Residential 106
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 177.40
Low Date 04/16/2024
High 196.07
High Date 04/26/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 169.37
Low Date 02/13/2024
High 196.07
High Date 04/26/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 188.22
Support 177.87
Low 160.45
Low Date 10/30/2023
High 196.07
High Date 04/26/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 153.07
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 198.66
High Date 07/24/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 229.40
High Date 02/19/2020
Low 118.17
Low Date 03/23/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.