The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/16/2026 -
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Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBearish Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick
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It was the negative week for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY). During the week, the XLY gave back -0.39 points, or -0.35%, and closed at 112.46 on Friday, October 16, 2026. Weekly volume was -12% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 28, 2022 at 63.00 and reached 125.01 on January 12, 2026. XLY gained -62.01 points, or -98.43%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 102.44 and resistance is at 128.54. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 12, 2026 at 125.01 and reached 105.19 on March 30, 2026. XLY lost 19.82 points, or 15.85%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 110.64 and resistance is at 118.96. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 4, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 1, 2026 at 107.99 and reached 114.69 on October 16, 2026. XLY gained -6.70 points, or -6.20%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 33.28% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLY candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick pattern. Bearish Dark Cloud Cover pattern is a trend reversal indicator which signifies the end of an uptrend and the start of a downtrend. The reliability of the Bearish Dark Cloud Cover pattern is considered a highly reliable pattern of market reversalUse the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.95
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.47
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.59 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.36
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 54.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.30
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 40.92
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.69
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 128.54
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 118.96
Upper Bollinger Band 114.63
50 Day Moving Average 113.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 113.53
Price 112.46
20 Day Moving Average 111.10
Quarterly Trendline Support 110.64
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 110.61
Parabolic System 109.93
Lower Bollinger Band 109.10
Yearly Trendline Support 102.44
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 107.99
Low Date 10/01/2026
High 114.69
High Date 10/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 120.44
High Date 08/07/2026
Low 107.99
Low Date 10/01/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 122.19
High Date 05/28/2026
Low 107.99
Low Date 10/01/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 118.96
Support 110.64
High 125.01
High Date 01/12/2026
Low 105.19
Low Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 128.54
Support 102.44
Low 63.00
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 125.01
High Date 01/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.