The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/6/2026 -
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Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fifth positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP). During the week, the XLP gained 4.43 points, or 5.30%, and closed at 87.94 on Friday, February 6, 2026. Weekly volume was 116% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2003 at 17.82 and reached 88.09 on February 6, 2026. XLP gained -70.27 points, or -394.33%, in 1195 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 6, 2025 at 75.16 and reached 88.09 on February 6, 2026. XLP gained -12.93 points, or -17.20%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (77.13) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2026 at 86.22 and reached 88.09 on February 6, 2026. XLP gained -1.87 points, or -2.17%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 8.02% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 8, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.78
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.47
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.83
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.42
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.74
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.58
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.23
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 87.94
Upper Bollinger Band 87.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 87.59
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.50
Parabolic System 85.45
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 83.71
20 Day Moving Average 83.17
50 Day Moving Average 80.31
Lower Bollinger Band 78.95
Quarterly Trendline Support 77.13
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 86.22
Low Date 02/04/2026
High 88.09
High Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 86.22
Low Date 02/04/2026
High 88.09
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 76.51
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 88.09
High Date 02/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 83.71
Support 77.13
Low 75.16
Low Date 11/06/2025
High 88.09
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 17.82
Low Date 03/10/2003
High 88.09
High Date 02/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.