The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In Oct 10, 2025
Skip Navigation Links
Share
Number of records: 10
Symbol:  

• Symbol Lookup
• View Technical Chart
• Add to Watch List
• Candlestick Patterns
• Stock Technical Indicators
• Stock Trends Analysis
• Market Sector Rank
• Stock Trading Signals

Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 10/3/2025 -
Sign In to see current Signals.

Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) Technical Analysis

Subscribe to TheGreedyTrader Weekly Alerts
Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
Move cursor over the icon to see details.

It was a first positive week for the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK). During the week, the XLK gained 5.88 points, or 2.11%, and closed at 284.72 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 54% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 112.97 and reached 287.88 on October 3, 2025. XLK gained -174.91 points, or -154.83%, in 155 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 172.50 and reached 287.88 on October 3, 2025. XLK gained -115.38 points, or -66.89%, in 25 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (290.32) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 255.84 and reached 287.88 on October 3, 2025. XLK gained -32.04 points, or -12.52%, in 44 days. The price is now at the 9.86% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.82
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.39
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.07
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.54 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.93
Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.79
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.94 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 292.47
Monthly Trendline Support 290.32
Upper Bollinger Band 289.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 286.34
Price 284.72
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 284.71
20 Day Moving Average 276.52
Parabolic System 275.31
50 Day Moving Average 268.55
Lower Bollinger Band 264.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 274.25
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 287.88
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 255.84
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 287.88
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 292.47
Support 290.32
Low 172.50
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 287.88
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 112.97
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 287.88
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 12.94
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 287.88
High Date 10/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.