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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 6/27/2025 -
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Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fifth consecutive positive week for the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK). During the week, the XLK gained 10.23 points, or 4.25%, and closed at 250.77 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 112.97 and reached 252.71 on June 27, 2025. XLK gained -139.74 points, or -123.70%, in 141 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 172.50 and reached 252.71 on June 27, 2025. XLK gained -80.21 points, or -46.50%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (261.81) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 238.75 and reached 252.71 on June 27, 2025. XLK gained -13.96 points, or -5.85%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 13.90% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.46
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.10
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.25
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.51
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.45
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 96.03
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.33
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.12
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 271.46
Monthly Trendline Support 261.81
Daily Stochastic Crossing 251.89
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 251.57
Upper Bollinger Band 251.49
Price 250.77
20 Day Moving Average 241.10
Parabolic System 240.75
Lower Bollinger Band 230.36
50 Day Moving Average 227.01
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 238.75
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 252.71
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 225.10
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 252.71
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 271.46
Support 261.81
Low 172.50
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 252.71
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 112.97
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 252.71
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 12.94
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 252.71
High Date 06/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.