The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Broken Support

Uptrend Broken Support stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Broken Support alert is a confirmation that long term uptrend reversal is completed and a new downtrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of support trendline. This point is considered as a second chance to sell long position (or open short positions) in uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Broken Support

Archive
- 12/12/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
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It was a third positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI gained 2.16 points, or 1.40%, and closed at 156.74 on Friday, December 12, 2025. XLI was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -143.32 points, or -946.63%, in 875 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (100.25) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -75.71 points, or -91.49%, in 167 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 121.18 and resistance is at 168.63. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 147.14 and reached 158.46 on December 12, 2025. XLI gained -11.32 points, or -7.69%, in 21 days. The price is now at the 15.19% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.74
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.14
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.38
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.85
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 52.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 67.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.32
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 168.63
Upper Bollinger Band 158.98
Daily Stochastic Crossing 157.07
Monthly Trendline Resistance 157.05
Price 156.74
Parabolic System 154.21
50 Day Moving Average 153.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 152.97
20 Day Moving Average 152.74
Monthly Trendline Support 149.27
Lower Bollinger Band 148.80
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 153.19
Low Date 12/09/2025
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 147.14
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rectangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 157.05
Support 149.27
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 168.63
Support 121.18
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 114.90
Support 100.25
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 158.46
High Date 12/12/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.