The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 5/2/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageBroken trend resistance line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF gained 1.74 points, or 3.62%, and closed at 49.76 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 52.64 on March 3, 2025. XLF gained -46.76 points, or -795.24%, in 834 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (33.71) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 30.39 and reached 52.64 on March 3, 2025. XLF gained -22.25 points, or -73.21%, in 101 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 33.77 and resistance is at 54.45. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 21, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 3, 2025 at 52.64 and reached 42.21 on April 7, 2025. XLF lost 10.43 points, or 19.81%, in 35 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (37.20) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XLF may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 21, 2025.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.94
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.35
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.24
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 30.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.67
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 54.45
Upper Bollinger Band 51.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 49.81
Price 49.76
50 Day Moving Average 48.62
Weekly Trendline Resistance 48.26
20 Day Moving Average 47.03
Parabolic System 46.80
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 46.15
Lower Bollinger Band 44.84
Yearly Trendline Resistance 40.94
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 42.21
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 49.94
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 48.26
Support 37.20
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 42.21
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 54.45
Support 33.77
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 40.94
Support 33.71
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.