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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLE

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- 7/3/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved above oversold areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gained 1.73 points, or 2.03%, and closed at 87.03 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. XLE was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 22.88 and reached 98.97 on April 12, 2024. XLE gained -76.09 points, or -332.56%, in 212 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (115.45) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 98.97 and reached 74.49 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 24.48 points, or 24.73%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 70.66 and resistance is at 94.44. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 80.72 and reached 89.43 on June 18, 2025. XLE gained -8.71 points, or -10.79%, in 27 days. The price is now at the 27.55% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 24, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (87.4) comes close to the price (87.03). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.52
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 50.17
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.69
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.45
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.54
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 102.66
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 94.44
Monthly Trendline Resistance 92.25
Upper Bollinger Band 89.26
Parabolic System 87.40
Price 87.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.00
20 Day Moving Average 85.96
Daily Stochastic Crossing 85.28
50 Day Moving Average 83.93
Lower Bollinger Band 81.96
Quarterly Trendline Support 70.66
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 80.72
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 89.43
High Date 06/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 89.43
High Date 06/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 92.25
Support 67.84
High 97.92
High Date 11/22/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 94.44
Support 70.66
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 102.66
Support 115.45
Low 22.88
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.