The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 2/6/2026 -
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Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Wal-Mart Stores (WMT). During the week, the WMT gained 12.04 points, or 10.11%, and closed at 131.18 on Friday, February 6, 2026. Weekly volume was 41% above average.

WMT is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See WMT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 20, 2024 at 181.35 and reached 58.18 on February 26, 2024. WMT lost 123.17 points, or 67.92%, in 0 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (96.09) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. WMT may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See WMT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 12, 2025 at 93.43 and reached 131.70 on February 6, 2026. WMT gained -38.27 points, or -40.96%, in 34 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (101.52) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See WMT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See WMT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 8, 2026 at 109.81 and reached 131.70 on February 6, 2026. WMT gained -21.89 points, or -19.93%, in 29 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See WMT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.53
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.33
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.03
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.94
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.30
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.38
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 131.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 130.28
Upper Bollinger Band 129.77
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 129.13
Weekly Trendline Resistance 122.60
20 Day Moving Average 120.55
Parabolic System 119.12
50 Day Moving Average 116.11
Lower Bollinger Band 112.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 9
Industry Hypermarkets & Super Centers 110
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 109.81
Low Date 01/08/2026
High 131.70
High Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 122.60
Support 101.52
Low 93.43
Low Date 06/12/2025
High 131.70
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 79.81
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 131.70
High Date 02/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.18
Low Date 02/26/2024
High 131.70
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 30.17
Support 96.09
High 181.35
High Date 02/20/2024
Low 58.18
Low Date 02/26/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.