The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Vanguard Extended Market Index ETF (VXF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 211.38
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Extended Market Index ETF (VXF). During the week, the VXF gained 3.25 points, or 1.56%, and closed at 212.09 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 13% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VXF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 146.70 and reached 213.61 on September 19, 2025. VXF gained -66.91 points, or -45.61%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (211.38). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VXF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 191.17 and reached 213.61 on September 19, 2025. VXF gained -22.44 points, or -11.74%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 208.32 and resistance is at 215.65. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VXF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VXF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 2, 2025 at 202.26 and reached 213.61 on September 19, 2025. VXF gained -11.35 points, or -5.61%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 13.39% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VXF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 17, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.85
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.05
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.68 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.70
Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.76
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.26
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.49 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 215.65
Upper Bollinger Band 212.40
Price 212.09
Daily Stochastic Crossing 211.90
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 211.85
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 211.38
Monthly Trendline Support 208.32
Parabolic System 208.20
20 Day Moving Average 207.63
Lower Bollinger Band 202.23
50 Day Moving Average 202.08
Quarterly Trendline Support 201.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 202.26
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 213.61
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 202.26
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 213.61
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 215.65
Support 208.32
Low 191.17
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 213.61
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 211.38
Support 201.46
Low 146.70
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 213.61
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 123.74
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 213.61
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.