The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/27/2025 -
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Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (VWOB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceTrend resistance at 65.11The price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (VWOB). During the week, the VWOB climbed 0.64 points, or 0.99%, and closed at 65.07 on Friday, June 27, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was -21% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VWOB long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 18, 2024 at 66.65 and reached 60.90 on April 9, 2025. VWOB lost 5.75 points, or 8.63%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (59.24) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. VWOB may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VWOB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 60.90 and reached 65.17 on June 27, 2025. VWOB gained -4.27 points, or -7.01%, in 11 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VWOB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VWOB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 5, 2025 at 63.09 and reached 65.17 on June 27, 2025. VWOB gained -2.08 points, or -3.30%, in 53 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (65.11). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VWOB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 3, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (64.71) comes close to the price (65.07). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.53
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.59
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.81
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.33
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.11
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 65.20
Weekly Trendline Resistance 65.11
Daily Stochastic Crossing 65.10
Price 65.07
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 65.05
Parabolic System 64.71
Weekly Trendline Support 64.54
20 Day Moving Average 64.40
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 64.04
50 Day Moving Average 63.90
Lower Bollinger Band 63.70
Quarterly Trendline Support 59.24
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 64.19
Low Date 06/18/2025
High 65.17
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 65.11
Support 64.54
Low 63.09
Low Date 05/05/2025
High 65.17
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 60.90
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 65.17
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 64.04
Support 59.24
High 66.65
High Date 09/18/2024
Low 60.90
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 57.18
Low Date 10/19/2023
High 66.65
High Date 09/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.