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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock ETF (VWO) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineTrend resistance at 53.12Trend resistance at 54.07
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock ETF (VWO). During the week, the VWO climbed 0.44 points, or 0.82%, and closed at 53.92 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 16% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VWO long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 24, 2022 at 34.88 and reached 54.86 on September 17, 2025. VWO gained -19.98 points, or -57.28%, in 151 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (53.12). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VWO medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 39.53 and reached 54.86 on September 17, 2025. VWO gained -15.33 points, or -38.78%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (54.07). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VWO weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 2, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VWO short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 2, 2025 at 51.01 and reached 54.86 on September 17, 2025. VWO gained -3.85 points, or -7.55%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 51.59 and resistance is at 55.50. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VWO daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (53.78) comes close to the price (53.92). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.35
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.69
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.31
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.33
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.47
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 55.50
Upper Bollinger Band 54.95
Daily Stochastic Crossing 54.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 54.26
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 54.07
Price 53.92
Parabolic System 53.78
Yearly Trendline Resistance 53.12
20 Day Moving Average 52.65
Quarterly Trendline Support 52.20
Weekly Trendline Support 51.59
50 Day Moving Average 51.45
Lower Bollinger Band 50.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 54.86
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 53.87
Low Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 55.50
Support 51.59
Low 51.01
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 54.86
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 49.37
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 54.86
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 54.07
Support 52.20
Low 39.53
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 54.86
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 53.12
Support 40.55
Low 34.88
Low Date 10/24/2022
High 54.86
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.