The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 12/5/2025 -
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Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtTrend resistance at 497.30
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG). During the week, the VUG climbed 3.25 points, or 0.66%, and closed at 494.09 on Friday, December 5, 2025. Weekly volume was -22% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VUG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 203.64 and reached 505.38 on October 29, 2025. VUG gained -301.74 points, or -148.17%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (497.30). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VUG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 316.10 and reached 505.38 on October 29, 2025. VUG gained -189.28 points, or -59.88%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 480.31 and resistance is at 523.22. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VUG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 14, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VUG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 462.93 and reached 496.05 on December 5, 2025. VUG gained -33.12 points, or -7.15%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 5.92% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VUG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.16
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.84
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.22
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.39
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 18.95
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 523.22
Upper Bollinger Band 503.81
Yearly Trendline Resistance 497.30
Daily Stochastic Crossing 494.39
Price 494.09
50 Day Moving Average 485.59
20 Day Moving Average 484.98
Parabolic System 484.11
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 483.50
Quarterly Trendline Support 480.31
Lower Bollinger Band 469.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 462.93
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 496.05
High Date 12/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 462.93
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 496.05
High Date 12/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 505.38
High Date 10/29/2025
Low 462.93
Low Date 11/21/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 523.22
Support 480.31
Low 316.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 505.38
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 497.30
Support 348.98
Low 203.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 505.38
High Date 10/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.