The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/6/2025 -
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Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 306.83
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG). During the week, the VUG gained 8.85 points, or 2.14%, and closed at 421.99 on Friday, June 6, 2025. Weekly volume was -14% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VUG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 203.64 and reached 429.10 on February 18, 2025. VUG gained -225.46 points, or -110.71%, in 122 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 349.02 and resistance is at 454.76. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VUG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on February 18, 2025 at 429.10 and reached 316.10 on April 7, 2025. VUG lost 113.00 points, or 26.33%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (306.83). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VUG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VUG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 401.88 and reached 423.91 on June 5, 2025. VUG gained -22.03 points, or -5.48%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 8.72% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VUG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 28, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.08
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.42
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.22
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.46
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.59
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.77
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 454.76
Monthly Trendline Resistance 438.18
Quarterly Trendline Support 425.12
Monthly Trendline Support 425.12
Upper Bollinger Band 423.29
Price 421.99
Daily Stochastic Crossing 421.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 421.02
20 Day Moving Average 412.11
Parabolic System 410.57
Lower Bollinger Band 394.16
50 Day Moving Average 384.60
Yearly Trendline Support 349.02
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 401.88
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 423.91
High Date 06/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 401.88
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 423.91
High Date 06/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 438.18
Support 425.12
Low 316.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 423.91
High Date 06/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 306.83
Support 425.12
High 429.10
High Date 02/18/2025
Low 316.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 454.76
Support 349.02
Low 203.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 429.10
High Date 02/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.