The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV). During the week, the VTV climbed 1.55 points, or 0.79%, and closed at 198.37 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was 74% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VTV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 150.40 and reached 198.98 on January 15, 2026. VTV gained -48.58 points, or -32.30%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (201.54) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VTV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 10, 2025 at 182.83 and reached 198.98 on January 15, 2026. VTV gained -16.15 points, or -8.83%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (183.08) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VTV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since November 28, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VTV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 2, 2026 at 190.47 and reached 198.98 on January 15, 2026. VTV gained -8.51 points, or -4.47%, in 13 days. The price is now at the 7.17% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VTV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.40
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.32
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.20
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.76
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.40
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.99
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.98
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.77
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Support 201.54
Upper Bollinger Band 199.72
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 199.45
Daily Stochastic Crossing 198.52
Price 198.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 197.28
Parabolic System 194.99
20 Day Moving Average 194.28
Monthly Trendline Resistance 194.09
50 Day Moving Average 190.76
Lower Bollinger Band 189.67
Monthly Trendline Support 183.08
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 190.47
Low Date 01/02/2026
High 198.98
High Date 01/15/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 182.81
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 198.98
High Date 01/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 194.09
Support 183.08
Low 182.83
Low Date 10/10/2025
High 198.98
High Date 01/15/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 199.45
Support 201.54
Low 150.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 198.98
High Date 01/15/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 122.54
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 198.98
High Date 01/15/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.