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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/5/2025 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund ETF Shares (VTIP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a sixth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund ETF Shares (VTIP). During the week, the VTIP climbed 0.04 points, or 0.08%, and closed at 50.72 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 14% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VTIP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 24, 2024 at 48.28 and reached 50.73 on September 5, 2025. VTIP gained -2.45 points, or -5.07%, in 36 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 50.82 and resistance is at 50.43. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VTIP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 3, 2025 at 49.78 and reached 50.73 on September 5, 2025. VTIP gained -0.95 points, or -1.91%, in 9 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VTIP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VTIP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 24, 2025 at 49.98 and reached 50.73 on September 5, 2025. VTIP gained -0.75 points, or -1.50%, in 43 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VTIP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (50.61) comes close to the price (50.72). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.58
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.76
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.13 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.03
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.83
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.27
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 50.82
Monthly Trendline Support 50.82
Price 50.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 50.70
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 50.67
Parabolic System 50.61
20 Day Moving Average 50.45
Monthly Trendline Resistance 50.43
50 Day Moving Average 50.21
Lower Bollinger Band 50.13
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 49.98
Low Date 07/24/2025
High 50.73
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 49.78
Low Date 07/03/2025
High 50.73
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 50.43
Support 50.82
Low 48.28
Low Date 12/24/2024
High 50.73
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 46.70
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 50.73
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 46.53
Low Date 01/05/2023
High 50.73
High Date 09/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.