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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/5/2025 -
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Vanguard Telecom Services ETF (VOX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 189.81
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Telecom Services ETF (VOX). During the week, the VOX gained 5.61 points, or 3.11%, and closed at 185.80 on Friday, September 5, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VOX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 4, 2022 at 78.27 and reached 186.53 on September 5, 2025. VOX gained -108.26 points, or -138.32%, in 148 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (189.81). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VOX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 129.30 and reached 186.53 on September 5, 2025. VOX gained -57.23 points, or -44.26%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 187.27 and resistance is at 184.43. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VOX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VOX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 2, 2025 at 177.23 and reached 186.53 on September 5, 2025. VOX gained -9.30 points, or -5.25%, in 3 days. The price is now at the 7.85% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VOX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.54
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.38
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.30
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.37
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.29
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.88
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.47 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 189.81
Quarterly Trendline Support 187.27
Daily Stochastic Crossing 186.00
Price 185.80
Upper Bollinger Band 185.04
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 184.99
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 184.43
20 Day Moving Average 179.00
Parabolic System 177.68
50 Day Moving Average 174.46
Lower Bollinger Band 173.21
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 177.23
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 186.53
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 177.23
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 186.53
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 173.92
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 186.53
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 184.43
Support 187.27
Low 129.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 186.53
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 189.81
Support 138.43
Low 78.27
Low Date 11/04/2022
High 186.53
High Date 09/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.