The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/18/2026 -
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Valero Energy (VLO) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
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It was a sixth consecutive positive week for the Valero Energy (VLO). During the week, the VLO gained 22.86 points, or 5.86%, and closed at 413.28 on Friday, September 18, 2026. Weekly volume was 58% above average.

VLO is a member of Energy Sector. Energy is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See VLO long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 31.00 and reached 416.66 on September 18, 2026. VLO gained -385.66 points, or -1244.06%, in 339 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (121.29) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VLO medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 99.00 and reached 416.66 on September 18, 2026. VLO gained -317.66 points, or -320.87%, in 75 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (221.74) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VLO weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VLO short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 18, 2026 at 232.72 and reached 416.66 on September 18, 2026. VLO gained -183.94 points, or -79.04%, in 92 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (362.29) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VLO daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 28, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 86.74
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.26
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.43
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 18.73
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.84
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.66
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.28
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 31.90
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 420.60
Daily Stochastic Crossing 414.05
Price 413.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 411.18
Parabolic System 396.04
Weekly Trendline Resistance 390.60
20 Day Moving Average 373.37
Weekly Trendline Support 362.29
50 Day Moving Average 337.66
Lower Bollinger Band 330.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Energy 12
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing 122
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 291.46
Low Date 08/07/2026
High 416.66
High Date 09/18/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 390.60
Support 362.29
Low 232.72
Low Date 06/18/2026
High 416.66
High Date 09/18/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 277.42
Support 273.12
Low 159.90
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 416.66
High Date 09/18/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 254.59
Support 221.74
Low 99.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 416.66
High Date 09/18/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 258.89
Support 121.29
Low 31.00
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 416.66
High Date 09/18/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.