The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Vanguard Industrials ETF (VIS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Industrials ETF (VIS). During the week, the VIS gained 9.88 points, or 3.14%, and closed at 324.45 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was 27% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VIS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 156.85 and reached 325.25 on January 16, 2026. VIS gained -168.40 points, or -107.36%, in 170 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 231.78 and resistance is at 334.50. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VIS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 282.03 and reached 325.25 on January 16, 2026. VIS gained -43.22 points, or -15.32%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 300.66 and resistance is at 328.06. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VIS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VIS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 31, 2025 at 298.38 and reached 325.25 on January 16, 2026. VIS gained -26.87 points, or -9.01%, in 16 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VIS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 97.05
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.80
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.19
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.32
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 334.50
Monthly Trendline Resistance 328.06
Upper Bollinger Band 326.66
Daily Stochastic Crossing 324.61
Price 324.45
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 320.10
Parabolic System 315.43
20 Day Moving Average 308.70
50 Day Moving Average 300.66
Monthly Trendline Support 300.66
Lower Bollinger Band 294.40
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 298.38
Low Date 12/31/2025
High 325.25
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 294.51
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 325.25
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 328.06
Support 300.66
Low 282.03
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 325.25
High Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.30
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 325.25
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 334.50
Support 231.78
Low 156.85
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 325.25
High Date 01/16/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.