The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT). During the week, the VGT gained 21.60 points, or 3.00%, and closed at 741.17 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VGT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 291.61 and reached 741.80 on September 19, 2025. VGT gained -450.19 points, or -154.38%, in 153 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See VGT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 451.00 and reached 741.80 on September 19, 2025. VGT gained -290.80 points, or -64.48%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 738.96 and resistance is at 755.44. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VGT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VGT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 672.88 and reached 741.80 on September 19, 2025. VGT gained -68.92 points, or -10.24%, in 30 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VGT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.07
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.29
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.31
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 85.59
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.28
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.20
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 26.58 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 755.44
Upper Bollinger Band 742.04
Price 741.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 739.26
Monthly Trendline Support 738.96
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 731.85
Parabolic System 714.30
20 Day Moving Average 708.96
50 Day Moving Average 696.96
Lower Bollinger Band 682.87
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 713.84
Low Date 09/17/2025
High 741.80
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 672.88
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 741.80
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 755.44
Support 738.96
Low 451.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 741.80
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 291.61
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 741.80
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 28.85
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 741.80
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.