The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/9/2026 -
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Vanguard European Stock ETF (VGK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the Vanguard European Stock ETF (VGK). During the week, the VGK gained 1.21 points, or 1.43%, and closed at 85.77 on Friday, January 9, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since November 28, 2025. Weekly volume was -6% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VGK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 44.99 and reached 85.83 on January 9, 2026. VGK gained -40.84 points, or -90.78%, in 169 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (66.53) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VGK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 62.02 and reached 85.83 on January 9, 2026. VGK gained -23.81 points, or -38.39%, in 39 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (79.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VGK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VGK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 31, 2025 at 83.53 and reached 85.83 on January 9, 2026. VGK gained -2.30 points, or -2.75%, in 9 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VGK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (85.01) comes close to the price (85.77). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.90
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.38
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.40
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.88
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.43
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.56
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.16
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.89
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 85.83
Price 85.77
Daily Stochastic Crossing 85.53
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 85.39
Parabolic System 85.01
Monthly Trendline Resistance 84.83
Monthly Trendline Support 84.38
20 Day Moving Average 83.90
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 83.77
50 Day Moving Average 81.97
Lower Bollinger Band 81.97
Quarterly Trendline Support 79.31
Yearly Trendline Resistance 78.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 83.53
Low Date 12/31/2025
High 85.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 83.53
Low Date 12/31/2025
High 85.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 84.83
Support 84.38
Low 77.87
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 85.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 83.77
Support 79.31
Low 62.02
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 85.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 78.65
Support 66.53
Low 44.99
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 85.83
High Date 01/09/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.