The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a eighth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE). During the week, the VDE gained 3.06 points, or 2.04%, and closed at 152.95 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 41% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VDE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 16, 2025 at 119.84 and reached 155.17 on February 12, 2026. VDE gained -35.33 points, or -29.48%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (123.91) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VDE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 18, 2025 at 122.79 and reached 155.17 on February 12, 2026. VDE gained -32.38 points, or -26.37%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 135.80 and resistance is at 155.05. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VDE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VDE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 2, 2026 at 140.27 and reached 155.17 on February 12, 2026. VDE gained -14.90 points, or -10.62%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 14.90% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VDE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.53
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.90
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.11
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.93 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.86
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.62
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.72
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 156.97
Monthly Trendline Resistance 155.05
Daily Stochastic Crossing 153.85
Price 152.95
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 152.82
Parabolic System 151.16
20 Day Moving Average 144.12
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 140.44
Monthly Trendline Support 135.80
50 Day Moving Average 134.57
Lower Bollinger Band 132.24
Quarterly Trendline Support 123.91
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 140.27
Low Date 02/02/2026
High 155.17
High Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 140.27
Low Date 02/02/2026
High 155.17
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 155.05
Support 135.80
Low 122.79
Low Date 12/18/2025
High 155.17
High Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 140.44
Support 123.91
Low 119.84
Low Date 10/16/2025
High 155.17
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 103.10
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 155.17
High Date 02/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.