The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaPrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR gained 19.77 points, or 6.46%, and closed at 325.92 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was 23% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 28, 2022 at 213.73 and reached 402.30 on December 17, 2024. VCR gained -188.57 points, or -88.23%, in 102 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on December 17, 2024 at 402.30 and reached 285.10 on April 7, 2025. VCR lost 117.20 points, or 29.13%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (287.60) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 21, 2025 at 294.01 and reached 326.01 on April 25, 2025. VCR gained -32.00 points, or -10.88%, in 4 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.70
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 70.12
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.63
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -7.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.37
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 69.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 21.64
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.70
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 339.89
50 Day Moving Average 332.87
Price 325.92
Daily Stochastic Crossing 319.66
20 Day Moving Average 313.30
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 307.06
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 301.19
Lower Bollinger Band 293.12
Parabolic System 290.03
Quarterly Trendline Support 287.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 294.01
Low Date 04/21/2025
High 326.01
High Date 04/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 294.01
Low Date 04/21/2025
High 326.01
High Date 04/25/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 396.70
High Date 01/31/2025
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 307.06
Support 287.60
High 402.30
High Date 12/17/2024
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 402.30
High Date 12/17/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.