The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF (VBK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
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It was a seventh consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Small Cap Growth ETF (VBK). During the week, the VBK gained 5.33 points, or 1.79%, and closed at 303.82 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VBK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 214.80 and reached 305.82 on September 18, 2025. VBK gained -91.02 points, or -42.37%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (286.51) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VBK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 273.57 and reached 305.82 on September 18, 2025. VBK gained -32.25 points, or -11.79%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 297.87 and resistance is at 306.45. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VBK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VBK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 9, 2025 at 294.62 and reached 305.82 on September 18, 2025. VBK gained -11.20 points, or -3.80%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 17.86% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VBK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.66
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.45
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.01 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.21
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 0.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.66
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.40
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.77 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 306.45
Upper Bollinger Band 305.18
Price 303.82
Daily Stochastic Crossing 303.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 302.82
Parabolic System 300.41
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 299.95
Monthly Trendline Support 297.87
20 Day Moving Average 296.25
50 Day Moving Average 288.35
Lower Bollinger Band 287.25
Quarterly Trendline Support 286.51
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 294.62
Low Date 09/09/2025
High 305.82
High Date 09/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 294.62
Low Date 09/09/2025
High 305.82
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 306.45
Support 297.87
Low 273.57
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 305.82
High Date 09/18/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 299.95
Support 286.51
Low 214.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 305.82
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 186.95
Low Date 06/16/2022
High 305.82
High Date 09/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.