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Uptrend ExhaustionArchive
- 1/16/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :  | | Daily :
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| | It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 2.62 points, or 1.18%, and closed at 224.92 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was 451% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (197.28) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. VAW may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 226.41 on January 15, 2026. VAW gained -36.12 points, or -18.98%, in 8 weeks. Price is near the trend high.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 31, 2025 at 207.54 and reached 226.41 on January 15, 2026. VAW gained -18.87 points, or -9.09%, in 15 days. The price is now at the 7.90% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.
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