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- 11/28/2025 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageBearish Deliberation CandlestickStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 8.51 points, or 4.37%, and closed at 203.05 on Friday, November 28, 2025. Weekly volume was 26% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The price is now at the 76.53% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 11, 2025 at 210.34 and reached 190.29 on November 20, 2025. VAW lost 20.05 points, or 9.53%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 203.73 on November 28, 2025. VAW gained -13.44 points, or -7.06%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 5.06% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See VAW candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend;it appears after a sustained upward move and suggests that the rally is losing strength and a reversal is possible. The reliability of the Bearish Deliberation pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.72
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.42
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 24.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.58
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 203.95
Price 203.05
Daily Stochastic Crossing 201.42
50 Day Moving Average 200.14
20 Day Moving Average 195.64
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 194.60
Parabolic System 191.37
Lower Bollinger Band 190.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 203.73
High Date 11/28/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 203.73
High Date 11/28/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 215.82
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.