The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/17/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelBroken trend support line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW dropped -3.13 points, or -1.38%, and closed at 223.61 on Friday, July 17, 2026. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -83.86 points, or -51.96%, in 46 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (229.99) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VAW may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 20, 2026. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 8, 2026 at 222.28 and reached 229.11 on July 14, 2026. VAW gained -6.83 points, or -3.07%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 80.53% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 23, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 82.40
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 26.43
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.33
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 35.09
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 58.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.50
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.78
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.70
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 239.77
Upper Bollinger Band 234.74
50 Day Moving Average 230.30
Quarterly Trendline Support 229.99
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 229.12
20 Day Moving Average 228.58
Daily Stochastic Crossing 224.16
Price 223.61
Parabolic System 222.47
Lower Bollinger Band 220.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 222.28
Low Date 07/08/2026
High 229.11
High Date 07/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 222.28
Low Date 07/08/2026
High 229.11
High Date 07/14/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 240.89
High Date 06/17/2026
Low 222.28
Low Date 07/08/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 239.77
Support 229.99
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.