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- 8/22/2025 -
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Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price touches the upper Bollinger BandThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA). During the week, the ULTA gained 8.50 points, or 1.63%, and closed at 529.50 on Friday, August 22, 2025. Weekly volume was -47% below average.

ULTA is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ULTA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 14, 2024 at 574.76 and reached 309.00 on March 13, 2025. ULTA lost 265.76 points, or 46.24%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (301.97) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ULTA may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ULTA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 13, 2025 at 309.00 and reached 534.10 on August 13, 2025. ULTA gained -225.10 points, or -72.85%, in 21 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ULTA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ULTA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 509.07 and reached 534.09 on August 22, 2025. ULTA gained -25.02 points, or -4.91%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 18.35% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ULTA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 1, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 6.41% on Friday. It is 56.34% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.85
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 67.73
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.09
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.54
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.90
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.88
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 25.75 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 530.06
Price 529.50
Daily Stochastic Crossing 525.02
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 522.43
20 Day Moving Average 515.66
Parabolic System 509.17
Lower Bollinger Band 496.10
50 Day Moving Average 493.54
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 10
Industry Specialty Stores 79
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 509.07
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 534.09
High Date 08/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 509.07
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 534.09
High Date 08/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 496.20
Low Date 08/08/2025
High 534.10
High Date 08/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
High 534.10
High Date 08/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 372.67
Support 301.97
High 574.76
High Date 03/14/2024
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.