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- 10/10/2025 -
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Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA). During the week, the ULTA dropped -7.17 points, or -1.29%, and closed at 549.28 on Friday, October 10, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 29, 2025. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

Long-term trend: [See ULTA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 14, 2024 at 574.76 and reached 309.00 on March 13, 2025. ULTA lost 265.76 points, or 46.24%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (299.83) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ULTA may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ULTA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 13, 2025 at 309.00 and reached 572.23 on October 8, 2025. ULTA gained -263.23 points, or -85.19%, in 29 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 535.28 and resistance is at 582.14. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ULTA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ULTA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 22, 2025 at 514.88 and reached 572.23 on October 8, 2025. ULTA gained -57.35 points, or -11.14%, in 16 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ULTA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 65.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 12.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 67.66
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.55
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.84
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.31
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.16
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.56
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 32.56 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 582.14
Monthly Trendline Resistance 579.21
Upper Bollinger Band 576.63
Parabolic System 572.80
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 561.08
Daily Stochastic Crossing 560.17
Price 549.28
20 Day Moving Average 543.85
Quarterly Trendline Support 535.28
Monthly Trendline Support 529.61
50 Day Moving Average 528.52
Lower Bollinger Band 514.83
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Specialty Stores 70
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 514.88
Low Date 09/22/2025
High 572.23
High Date 10/08/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 514.88
Low Date 09/22/2025
High 572.23
High Date 10/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 579.21
Support 529.61
Low 505.65
Low Date 09/09/2025
High 572.23
High Date 10/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 582.14
Support 535.28
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
High 572.23
High Date 10/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 353.64
Support 299.83
High 574.76
High Date 03/14/2024
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.