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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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T-Mobile U (TMUS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold industryLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was the negative week for the T-Mobile U (TMUS). During the week, the TMUS dropped -3.05 points, or -1.45%, and closed at 207.00 on Friday, November 7, 2025. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

TMUS is a member of Wireless Telecommunication Services Industry. Wireless Telecommunication Services is the fourth most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See TMUS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 21, 2022 at 101.51 and reached 276.50 on March 3, 2025. TMUS gained -174.99 points, or -172.39%, in 162 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 166.74 and resistance is at 313.01. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TMUS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 261.56 and reached 199.41 on November 6, 2025. TMUS lost 62.15 points, or 23.76%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 201.50 and resistance is at 211.89. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TMUS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TMUS short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 10, 2025 at 231.02 and reached 199.41 on November 6, 2025. TMUS lost 31.61 points, or 13.68%, in 27 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 198.04 and resistance is at 227.32. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TMUS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (208.78) comes close to the price (207.00). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.39
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.39
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -6.58
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.72
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.70
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 10.41
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.65
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.28
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 235.75
50 Day Moving Average 230.49
Weekly Trendline Resistance 227.32
20 Day Moving Average 218.00
Monthly Trendline Resistance 211.89
Parabolic System 208.78
Price 207.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 203.94
Daily Stochastic Crossing 202.96
Monthly Trendline Support 201.50
Weekly Trendline Support 198.04
Lower Bollinger Band 196.85
Yearly Trendline Support 166.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Communication Services 5
Industry Wireless Telecommunication Services 4
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 199.41
Low Date 11/06/2025
High 208.58
High Date 11/07/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 227.32
Support 198.04
High 231.02
High Date 10/10/2025
Low 199.41
Low Date 11/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 211.89
Support 201.50
High 261.56
High Date 08/20/2025
Low 199.41
Low Date 11/06/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 276.50
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 199.41
Low Date 11/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 313.01
Support 166.74
Low 101.51
Low Date 01/21/2022
High 276.50
High Date 03/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.