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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 10/31/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtBroken trend resistance linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT dropped -1.18 points, or -1.29%, and closed at 90.29 on Friday, October 31, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since May 23, 2025. Weekly volume was -9% below average.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2024 at 101.64 and reached 83.30 on May 22, 2025. TLT lost 18.34 points, or 18.04%, in 35 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (81.29) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 83.30 and reached 92.19 on October 21, 2025. TLT gained -8.89 points, or -10.67%, in 21 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 88.46 and reached 92.19 on October 21, 2025. TLT gained -3.73 points, or -4.22%, in 26 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 89.17 and resistance is at 93.33. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.27
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 46.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.54
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 46.95
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.65
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 20.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.92
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.05
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 93.33
Upper Bollinger Band 92.75
Parabolic System 91.94
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 91.66
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.80
20 Day Moving Average 90.79
Price 90.29
50 Day Moving Average 89.50
Weekly Trendline Support 89.17
Lower Bollinger Band 88.75
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 86.10
Quarterly Trendline Support 81.29
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 92.19
High Date 10/21/2025
Low 90.20
Low Date 10/31/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 93.33
Support 89.17
Low 88.46
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 92.19
High Date 10/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 92.19
High Date 10/21/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 86.10
Support 81.29
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.