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- 11/28/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a second positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT climbed 0.71 points, or 0.79%, and closed at 90.21 on Friday, November 28, 2025. TLT was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 9, 2020 at 179.70 and reached 82.42 on October 23, 2023. TLT lost 97.28 points, or 54.13%, in 189 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (80.19) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. TLT may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 83.30 and reached 92.19 on October 21, 2025. TLT gained -8.89 points, or -10.67%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 87.35 and resistance is at 93.46. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2025 at 88.80 and reached 90.64 on November 26, 2025. TLT gained -1.84 points, or -2.07%, in 8 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.26%) is close to one year low (2.15%). It is 56.20% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 76.55
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.14
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 47.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.68
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.35
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 93.46
Upper Bollinger Band 90.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.35
Price 90.21
50 Day Moving Average 89.99
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 89.97
20 Day Moving Average 89.65
Monthly Trendline Resistance 89.04
Lower Bollinger Band 88.86
Parabolic System 88.86
Monthly Trendline Support 87.65
Quarterly Trendline Support 87.35
Yearly Trendline Resistance 82.20
Yearly Trendline Support 80.19
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 88.80
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 90.64
High Date 11/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 88.80
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 90.64
High Date 11/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 89.04
Support 87.65
High 92.19
High Date 10/21/2025
Low 88.80
Low Date 11/18/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 93.46
Support 87.35
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 92.19
High Date 10/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 82.20
Support 80.19
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.