The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Stanley Works (SWK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Stanley Works (SWK). During the week, the SWK gained 2.26 points, or 2.74%, and closed at 84.61 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was -36% below average.

SWK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See SWK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 110.88 and reached 53.91 on April 9, 2025. SWK lost 56.97 points, or 51.38%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (63.91) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. SWK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SWK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 53.91 and reached 85.16 on January 16, 2026. SWK gained -31.25 points, or -57.97%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 62.44 and resistance is at 87.42. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SWK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SWK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 17, 2025 at 71.16 and reached 85.16 on January 16, 2026. SWK gained -14.00 points, or -19.67%, in 30 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SWK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 79.45
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.62
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.82
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.58
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.19
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.38
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.33
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 87.42
Upper Bollinger Band 87.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 84.62
Price 84.61
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 82.50
Parabolic System 81.41
20 Day Moving Average 78.28
50 Day Moving Average 73.13
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 71.22
Lower Bollinger Band 71.04
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Industrial Machinery 99
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 71.16
Low Date 12/17/2025
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 61.90
Low Date 11/19/2025
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 87.42
Support 62.44
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 71.22
Support 63.91
High 110.88
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 225.00
High Date 05/10/2021
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.