The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/2/2026 -
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Stanley Works (SWK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance linePrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
Daily :The period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Stanley Works (SWK). During the week, the SWK gained 1.09 points, or 1.45%, and closed at 76.47 on Friday, January 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -55% below average.

SWK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See SWK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 110.88 and reached 53.91 on April 9, 2025. SWK lost 56.97 points, or 51.38%, in 27 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Medium-term trend: [See SWK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 81.44 and reached 61.90 on November 19, 2025. SWK lost 19.54 points, or 23.99%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (60.45) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SWK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 5, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SWK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 19, 2025 at 61.90 and reached 77.69 on December 22, 2025. SWK gained -15.79 points, or -25.51%, in 33 days. The price is now at the 7.73% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SWK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 8% on Friday. It is 53.05% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 43.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 60.53
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.52
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.35
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.22
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 33.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.49
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.62
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 76.75
Price 76.47
Daily Stochastic Crossing 76.07
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 74.69
20 Day Moving Average 74.14
Parabolic System 72.41
Lower Bollinger Band 70.62
50 Day Moving Average 70.62
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Industrial Machinery 89
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 61.90
Low Date 11/19/2025
High 77.69
High Date 12/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 61.00
Support 60.45
High 81.44
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 61.90
Low Date 11/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 81.44
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 110.88
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 225.00
High Date 05/10/2021
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.