The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 7/3/2025 -
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Stanley Works (SWK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Stanley Works (SWK). During the week, the SWK gained 3.45 points, or 5.10%, and closed at 71.10 on Thursday, July 3, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since May 16, 2025. Weekly volume was 10% above average.

SWK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See SWK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 110.88 and reached 53.91 on April 9, 2025. SWK lost 56.97 points, or 51.38%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (34.38) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. SWK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SWK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 53.91 and reached 74.67 on May 13, 2025. SWK gained -20.76 points, or -38.51%, in 4 weeks. The price is now at the 17.20% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SWK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SWK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 63.31 and reached 72.25 on July 1, 2025. SWK gained -8.94 points, or -14.12%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 12.86% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SWK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.79
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.64
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.62
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.42
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 51.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.22
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -6.05
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 71.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 71.27
Price 71.10
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 68.04
20 Day Moving Average 67.11
50 Day Moving Average 65.79
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 64.96
Parabolic System 63.60
Lower Bollinger Band 63.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 9
Industry Industrial Machinery 69
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 63.31
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 72.25
High Date 07/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 62.39
Low Date 06/03/2025
High 72.25
High Date 07/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 74.67
High Date 05/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 64.96
Support 34.38
High 110.88
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 225.00
High Date 05/10/2021
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.