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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/30/2026 -
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Stanley Works (SWK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Stanley Works (SWK). During the week, the SWK gained 4.20 points, or 4.23%, and closed at 103.44 on Friday, October 30, 2026. Weekly volume was -12% below average.

Long-term trend: [See SWK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on May 10, 2021 at 225.00 and reached 53.91 on April 9, 2025. SWK lost 171.09 points, or 76.04%, in 204 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (43.63) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. SWK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SWK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 53.91 and reached 105.17 on October 30, 2026. SWK gained -51.26 points, or -95.08%, in 81 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 72.50 and resistance is at 114.75. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SWK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SWK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 20, 2026 at 90.30 and reached 105.17 on October 30, 2026. SWK gained -14.87 points, or -16.47%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 11.63% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SWK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 30, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 88.54
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.13
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 91.55
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.62
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 43.58
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.75
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 114.75
Upper Bollinger Band 106.23
Daily Stochastic Crossing 104.21
Price 103.44
Parabolic System 98.60
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 95.59
20 Day Moving Average 94.28
50 Day Moving Average 93.43
Monthly Trendline Support 88.51
Lower Bollinger Band 85.90
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 4
Industry Industrial Machinery 45
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 90.30
Low Date 10/20/2026
High 105.17
High Date 10/30/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 85.71
Low Date 10/08/2026
High 105.17
High Date 10/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 124.30
Support 88.51
Low 65.76
Low Date 04/16/2026
High 105.17
High Date 10/30/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 114.75
Support 72.50
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 105.17
High Date 10/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 40.69
Support 43.63
High 225.00
High Date 05/10/2021
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.