The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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Stanley Works (SWK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Stanley Works (SWK). During the week, the SWK dropped -2.13 points, or -2.52%, and closed at 82.48 on Friday, January 23, 2026. Weekly volume was -39% below average.

SWK is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See SWK long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 27, 2024 at 110.88 and reached 53.91 on April 9, 2025. SWK lost 56.97 points, or 51.38%, in 27 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (64.12) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. SWK may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SWK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 53.91 and reached 85.16 on January 16, 2026. SWK gained -31.25 points, or -57.97%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 62.41 and resistance is at 87.73. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SWK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 5, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SWK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 19, 2025 at 61.90 and reached 85.16 on January 16, 2026. SWK gained -23.26 points, or -37.58%, in 58 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (82.86) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SWK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.74
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 66.15
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.59
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.70
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.92
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.79
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.01
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 87.73
Upper Bollinger Band 87.41
Weekly Trendline Resistance 86.51
Parabolic System 84.97
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 83.62
Daily Stochastic Crossing 83.32
Weekly Trendline Support 82.86
Price 82.48
20 Day Moving Average 80.02
50 Day Moving Average 74.27
Lower Bollinger Band 73.00
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 70.73
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 12
Industry Industrial Machinery 103
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Low 80.69
Low Date 01/20/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 86.51
Support 82.86
Low 61.90
Low Date 11/19/2025
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 87.73
Support 62.41
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 85.16
High Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 70.73
Support 64.12
High 110.88
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 225.00
High Date 05/10/2021
Low 53.91
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.