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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/5/2025 -
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Seagate Technology (STX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Seagate Technology (STX). During the week, the STX gained 20.76 points, or 12.40%, and closed at 188.16 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 23% above average.

Long-term trend: [See STX long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 12, 2016 at 18.42 and reached 189.23 on September 5, 2025. STX gained -170.81 points, or -927.31%, in 486 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (61.21) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See STX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 3, 2022 at 47.47 and reached 189.23 on September 5, 2025. STX gained -141.76 points, or -298.63%, in 148 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (66.02) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See STX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See STX short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 7, 2025 at 144.75 and reached 189.23 on September 5, 2025. STX gained -44.48 points, or -30.73%, in 29 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (168.97) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See STX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 22, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.92
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.53
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 88.17
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.87
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 92.07
Strong Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.24
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.00
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 14.02 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 188.16
Daily Stochastic Crossing 188.04
Upper Bollinger Band 186.20
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 185.75
Weekly Trendline Resistance 178.75
Yearly Trendline Resistance 171.53
Monthly Trendline Resistance 169.68
Weekly Trendline Support 168.97
Parabolic System 166.00
Monthly Trendline Support 164.35
20 Day Moving Average 163.44
50 Day Moving Average 154.52
Lower Bollinger Band 145.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 5
Industry Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 88
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 163.86
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 189.23
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 178.75
Support 168.97
Low 144.75
Low Date 08/07/2025
High 189.23
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 169.68
Support 164.35
Low 63.19
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 189.23
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 136.94
Support 66.02
Low 47.47
Low Date 11/03/2022
High 189.23
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 171.53
Support 61.21
Low 18.42
Low Date 05/12/2016
High 189.23
High Date 09/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.