The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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SPDRs (SPY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 670.86
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the SPDRs (SPY). During the week, the SPY climbed 6.29 points, or 0.96%, and closed at 663.70 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 35% above average.

Long-term trend: [See SPY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 348.12 and reached 664.89 on September 18, 2025. SPY gained -316.77 points, or -90.99%, in 153 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (670.86). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SPY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 481.80 and reached 664.89 on September 18, 2025. SPY gained -183.09 points, or -38.00%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SPY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SPY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 2, 2025 at 634.92 and reached 664.89 on September 18, 2025. SPY gained -29.97 points, or -4.72%, in 16 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SPY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.80
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.09
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.21
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.42
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.74
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 16.17 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 670.86
Upper Bollinger Band 666.19
Price 663.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 663.27
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 661.86
Parabolic System 655.54
20 Day Moving Average 651.32
50 Day Moving Average 640.61
Lower Bollinger Band 637.80
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 634.92
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 664.89
High Date 09/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 632.95
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 664.89
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 481.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 664.89
High Date 09/18/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 670.86
Support 507.61
Low 348.12
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 664.89
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 67.10
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 664.89
High Date 09/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.