The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 9/5/2025 -
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J.M. Smucker Co. (SJM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtOversold sectorBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 113.65
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SAR
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It was a first positive week for the J.M. Smucker Co. (SJM). During the week, the SJM gained 2.00 points, or 1.81%, and closed at 112.51 on Friday, September 5, 2025. Weekly volume was 25% above average.

SJM is a member of Consumer Staples Sector. Consumer Staples is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See SJM long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2023 at 163.07 and reached 93.30 on June 18, 2025. SJM lost 69.77 points, or 42.79%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (95.94) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. SJM may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SJM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2025 at 121.50 and reached 93.30 on June 18, 2025. SJM lost 28.20 points, or 23.21%, in 14 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (113.65). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SJM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 25, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SJM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 27, 2025 at 100.25 and reached 114.11 on September 5, 2025. SJM gained -13.86 points, or -13.83%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 11.54% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SJM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since August 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 77.39
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.73
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.88
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 24.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.14
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.19
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 114.35
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 113.65
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 112.54
Price 112.51
Daily Stochastic Crossing 111.20
20 Day Moving Average 111.11
Yearly Trendline Resistance 110.96
50 Day Moving Average 108.05
Lower Bollinger Band 106.67
Parabolic System 100.71
Quarterly Trendline Support 100.64
Yearly Trendline Support 95.94
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Staples 2
Industry Packaged Foods & Meats 26
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 100.25
Low Date 08/27/2025
High 114.11
High Date 09/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 114.74
High Date 08/22/2025
Low 100.25
Low Date 08/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 93.30
Low Date 06/18/2025
High 114.74
High Date 08/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 113.65
Support 100.64
High 121.50
High Date 03/10/2025
Low 93.30
Low Date 06/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 110.96
Support 95.94
High 163.07
High Date 01/06/2023
Low 93.30
Low Date 06/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.