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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 10/10/2025 -
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Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldTrend support at 77.75
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversoldMACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Starbucks Corp. (SBUX). During the week, the SBUX dropped -7.96 points, or -9.21%, and closed at 78.46 on Friday, October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 21% above average.

Long-term trend: [See SBUX long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 23, 2021 at 126.32 and reached 68.39 on May 12, 2022. SBUX lost 57.93 points, or 45.86%, in 41 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 73.35 and resistance is at 100.52. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See SBUX medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 16, 2024 at 71.55 and reached 117.50 on March 3, 2025. SBUX gained -45.95 points, or -64.22%, in 32 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (77.75) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See SBUX weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 29, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See SBUX short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 2, 2025 at 87.26 and reached 78.41 on October 10, 2025. SBUX lost 8.85 points, or 10.14%, in 8 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See SBUX daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 85.90
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 3.04
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.60
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.18 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.08
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.19
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.81
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 89.68
Upper Bollinger Band 87.71
50 Day Moving Average 86.46
Parabolic System 85.31
20 Day Moving Average 83.51
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 80.81
Lower Bollinger Band 79.00
Daily Stochastic Crossing 78.73
Price 78.46
Quarterly Trendline Support 77.75
Yearly Trendline Support 73.35
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Restaurants 25
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 87.26
High Date 10/02/2025
Low 78.41
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 98.89
High Date 07/30/2025
Low 78.41
Low Date 10/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 117.50
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 75.50
Low Date 04/30/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Support
Resistance 89.68
Support 77.75
Low 71.55
Low Date 07/16/2024
High 117.50
High Date 03/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 100.52
Support 73.35
High 126.32
High Date 07/23/2021
Low 68.39
Low Date 05/12/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.