The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Ross Stores (ROST) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Ross Stores (ROST). During the week, the ROST climbed 0.92 points, or 0.48%, and closed at 192.36 on Friday, January 16, 2026. Weekly volume was -24% below average.

ROST is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ROST long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 8, 2022 at 90.31 and reached 194.92 on January 16, 2026. ROST gained -104.61 points, or -115.83%, in 166 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 134.75 and resistance is at 198.73. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ROST medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 26, 2025 at 124.49 and reached 194.92 on January 16, 2026. ROST gained -70.43 points, or -56.57%, in 29 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ROST weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 1, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ROST short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 18, 2025 at 143.39 and reached 194.92 on January 16, 2026. ROST gained -51.53 points, or -35.94%, in 120 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 171.50 and resistance is at 198.14. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ROST daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 7, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.19
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.03
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.24
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.13
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 96.33
Strong Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.23
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.34
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.69 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 198.73
Weekly Trendline Resistance 198.14
Upper Bollinger Band 196.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 193.81
Price 192.36
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 191.56
Parabolic System 189.30
20 Day Moving Average 185.98
50 Day Moving Average 177.43
Lower Bollinger Band 176.76
Weekly Trendline Support 171.50
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Apparel Retail 117
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 178.88
Low Date 12/23/2025
High 194.92
High Date 01/16/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 198.14
Support 171.50
Low 143.39
Low Date 09/18/2025
High 194.92
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 124.49
Low Date 06/26/2025
High 194.92
High Date 01/16/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 122.40
Low Date 03/21/2025
High 194.92
High Date 01/16/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 198.73
Support 134.75
Low 90.31
Low Date 11/08/2022
High 194.92
High Date 01/16/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.