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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/25/2025 -
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Ross Stores (ROST) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineOversold sector
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought area20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week for the Ross Stores (ROST). During the week, the ROST climbed 0.07 points, or 0.05%, and closed at 139.70 on Friday, April 25, 2025. ROST was trading at average weekly trading volume.

ROST is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ROST long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 8, 2022 at 90.31 and reached 163.55 on August 23, 2024. ROST gained -73.24 points, or -81.10%, in 93 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (150.19) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ROST medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 23, 2024 at 163.55 and reached 122.40 on March 21, 2025. ROST lost 41.15 points, or 25.16%, in 30 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 118.13 and resistance is at 152.58. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ROST weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ROST short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 21, 2025 at 122.40 and reached 144.31 on April 14, 2025. ROST gained -21.91 points, or -17.90%, in 24 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 135.72 and resistance is at 153.76. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ROST daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.30
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.64
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.58
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.64
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.14
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.77
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 153.76
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 152.58
Monthly Trendline Resistance 151.51
Yearly Trendline Support 150.19
Upper Bollinger Band 147.13
Price 139.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 139.51
Parabolic System 136.50
Weekly Trendline Support 135.72
20 Day Moving Average 135.14
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 134.13
50 Day Moving Average 133.66
Lower Bollinger Band 125.06
Quarterly Trendline Support 118.13
Monthly Trendline Support 112.47
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 2
Industry Apparel Retail 105
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 144.31
High Date 04/14/2025
Low 133.70
Low Date 04/21/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 153.76
Support 135.72
Low 122.40
Low Date 03/21/2025
High 144.31
High Date 04/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 151.51
Support 112.47
High 158.69
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 122.40
Low Date 03/21/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 152.58
Support 118.13
High 163.55
High Date 08/23/2024
Low 122.40
Low Date 03/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 180.39
Support 150.19
Low 90.31
Low Date 11/08/2022
High 163.55
High Date 08/23/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.