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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 11/7/2025 -
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
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It was the negative week for the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL). During the week, the RCL dropped -30.82 points, or -10.75%, and closed at 256.01 on Friday, November 7, 2025. On Friday RCL has reached 251.22 - the lowest level since May 30, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. RCL was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See RCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2022 at 31.09 and reached 366.50 on August 29, 2025. RCL gained -335.41 points, or -1078.84%, in 163 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 188.12 and resistance is at 381.01. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See RCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 29, 2025 at 366.50 and reached 251.22 on November 7, 2025. RCL lost 115.28 points, or 31.45%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (281.53) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 24, 2025 at 322.95 and reached 251.22 on November 7, 2025. RCL lost 71.73 points, or 22.21%, in 14 days. The price is now at the 6.68% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since October 28, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 4.02
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.80
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -11.52
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.40
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 99.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.84
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.60
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 20.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 333.56
50 Day Moving Average 315.92
20 Day Moving Average 293.35
Parabolic System 289.83
Monthly Trendline Support 281.53
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 262.54
Price 256.01
Daily Stochastic Crossing 252.73
Lower Bollinger Band 243.26
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 44
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 322.95
High Date 10/24/2025
Low 251.22
Low Date 11/07/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 322.95
High Date 10/24/2025
Low 251.22
Low Date 11/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 312.58
Support 281.53
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Low 251.22
Low Date 11/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 381.01
Support 188.12
Low 31.09
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.25
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.