The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 9/19/2025 -
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NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 597.24
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ). During the week, the QQQ gained 12.69 points, or 2.16%, and closed at 599.35 on Friday, September 19, 2025. Weekly volume was 35% above average.

Long-term trend: [See QQQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 254.26 and reached 600.05 on September 19, 2025. QQQ gained -345.79 points, or -136.00%, in 153 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (597.24). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See QQQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 402.40 and reached 600.05 on September 19, 2025. QQQ gained -197.65 points, or -49.12%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See QQQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See QQQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 20, 2025 at 558.84 and reached 600.05 on September 19, 2025. QQQ gained -41.21 points, or -7.37%, in 30 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See QQQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since September 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.57
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.70
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.54
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 90.13
Strong Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.43
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.32
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.19
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.13
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 18.79 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 600.93
Price 599.35
Daily Stochastic Crossing 598.07
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 597.24
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 592.47
Parabolic System 585.97
20 Day Moving Average 580.06
50 Day Moving Average 571.86
Lower Bollinger Band 563.70
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 559.54
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 600.05
High Date 09/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 558.84
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 600.05
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 402.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 600.05
High Date 09/19/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 597.24
Support 436.29
Low 254.26
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 600.05
High Date 09/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.05
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 600.05
High Date 09/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.