The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 12/12/2025 -
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NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtTrend resistance at 619.90
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ). During the week, the QQQ dropped -11.86 points, or -1.90%, and closed at 613.62 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was 14% above average.

Long-term trend: [See QQQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 254.26 and reached 637.01 on October 29, 2025. QQQ gained -382.75 points, or -150.53%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (619.90). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See QQQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 29, 2025 at 637.01 and reached 580.74 on November 21, 2025. QQQ lost 56.27 points, or 8.83%, in 3 weeks. The price is now at the 58.43% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See QQQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 14, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See QQQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 21, 2025 at 580.74 and reached 629.21 on December 10, 2025. QQQ gained -48.47 points, or -8.35%, in 19 days. The price is now at the 32.16% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See QQQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 26, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 69.15
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.94
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.50
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 23.64
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 642.19
Parabolic System 629.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 622.98
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 619.90
Price 613.62
50 Day Moving Average 613.41
20 Day Moving Average 612.96
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 612.12
Lower Bollinger Band 592.75
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 580.74
Low Date 11/21/2025
High 629.21
High Date 12/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Low 580.74
Low Date 11/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 402.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 619.90
Support 450.10
Low 254.26
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.05
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 637.01
High Date 10/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.