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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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PayPal (PYPL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorOversold industryBroken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
Daily :Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap CandlestickRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergenceThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the PayPal (PYPL). During the week, the PYPL gave back -0.13 points, or -0.32%, and closed at 40.29 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 79% above average.

PYPL is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the second most oversold sector. PYPL is a member of Data Processing & Outsourced Services Industry. Data Processing & Outsourced Services is the seventh most oversold industry. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PYPL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 9, 2024 at 93.66 and reached 38.46 on February 12, 2026. PYPL lost 55.20 points, or 58.94%, in 61 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (74.71) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PYPL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 28, 2025 at 79.22 and reached 38.46 on February 12, 2026. PYPL lost 40.76 points, or 51.45%, in 15 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PYPL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PYPL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 3, 2025 at 63.93 and reached 38.46 on February 12, 2026. PYPL lost 25.47 points, or 39.84%, in 71 days. The price is now at the 7.18% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PYPL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 27, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (72.77%) is close to one year high (61.26%). It is 380.17% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See PYPL candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern. This is a rare continuation formation that appears in a strongly downward moving market. The reliability of the Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Downside Tasuki Gap Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 12.78
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 95.90
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 16.13
Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 11.00
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.22 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 7.48
Strong Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.10
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.06
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.02
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 61.79
50 Day Moving Average 55.22
20 Day Moving Average 48.57
Parabolic System 43.55
Price 40.29
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 40.26
Daily Stochastic Crossing 39.11
Lower Bollinger Band 32.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 2
Industry Data Processing & Outsourced Services 7
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 63.93
High Date 12/03/2025
Low 38.46
Low Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 79.22
High Date 10/28/2025
Low 38.46
Low Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 79.50
High Date 07/28/2025
Low 38.46
Low Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 72.27
Support 74.71
High 93.66
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 38.46
Low Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 50.25
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 93.66
High Date 12/09/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.