The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

Archive
- 12/26/2025 -
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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 207.99
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week for the Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). During the week, the PKG gained 6.09 points, or 3.00%, and closed at 208.91 on Friday, December 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -38% below average.

Long-term trend: [See PKG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 250.80 and reached 172.70 on April 9, 2025. PKG lost 78.10 points, or 31.14%, in 19 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (207.99). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PKG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 5, 2025 at 220.31 and reached 191.50 on November 20, 2025. PKG lost 28.81 points, or 13.08%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 182.09 and resistance is at 212.73. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PKG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PKG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 191.50 and reached 209.02 on December 26, 2025. PKG gained -17.52 points, or -9.15%, in 36 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (194.16) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PKG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 9, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.58
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.97
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 42.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.06
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 212.73
Upper Bollinger Band 212.27
Price 208.91
Daily Stochastic Crossing 208.30
Yearly Trendline Resistance 207.99
20 Day Moving Average 202.15
50 Day Moving Average 201.27
Parabolic System 200.75
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 199.05
Yearly Trendline Support 194.39
Lower Bollinger Band 194.20
Weekly Trendline Support 194.16
Weekly Trendline Resistance 185.05
Monthly Trendline Support 182.09
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 5
Industry Paper Packaging 68
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 191.65
Low Date 12/02/2025
High 209.02
High Date 12/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 185.05
Support 194.16
Low 191.50
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 209.02
High Date 12/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 212.73
Support 182.09
High 220.31
High Date 09/05/2025
Low 191.50
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 220.31
High Date 09/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 207.99
Support 194.39
High 250.80
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.