The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/13/2026 -
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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). During the week, the PKG gained 7.45 points, or 3.12%, and closed at 246.31 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 16% above average.

PKG is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PKG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 250.80 and reached 172.70 on April 9, 2025. PKG lost 78.10 points, or 31.14%, in 19 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (198.37) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. PKG may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PKG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 172.70 and reached 249.51 on February 12, 2026. PKG gained -76.81 points, or -44.48%, in 44 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 200.74 and resistance is at 260.33. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PKG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 26, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PKG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 2, 2025 at 191.65 and reached 249.51 on February 12, 2026. PKG gained -57.86 points, or -30.19%, in 72 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (229.42) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PKG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since February 3, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.31
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 91.50
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.49
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.01
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.33
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.28
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.63
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 260.33
Upper Bollinger Band 250.30
Daily Stochastic Crossing 247.36
Price 246.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 243.49
Weekly Trendline Resistance 239.65
Monthly Trendline Resistance 238.46
Parabolic System 234.72
Weekly Trendline Support 229.42
20 Day Moving Average 228.81
Monthly Trendline Support 225.82
50 Day Moving Average 215.89
Lower Bollinger Band 210.78
Yearly Trendline Resistance 202.77
Quarterly Trendline Support 200.74
Yearly Trendline Support 198.37
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 11
Industry Paper Packaging 101
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 217.72
Low Date 01/29/2026
High 249.51
High Date 02/12/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 239.65
Support 229.42
Low 191.65
Low Date 12/02/2025
High 249.51
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 238.46
Support 225.82
Low 191.50
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 249.51
High Date 02/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 260.33
Support 200.74
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 249.51
High Date 02/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 202.77
Support 198.37
High 250.80
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.