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- 10/10/2025 -
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Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaOversold sector
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandLane's Stochastic is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). During the week, the PKG dropped -7.79 points, or -3.63%, and closed at 206.75 on Friday, October 10, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was -26% below average.

PKG is a member of Materials Sector. Materials is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PKG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 110.56 and reached 250.80 on November 25, 2024. PKG gained -140.24 points, or -126.85%, in 110 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 184.98 and resistance is at 300.90. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PKG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 172.70 and reached 220.31 on September 5, 2025. PKG gained -47.61 points, or -27.57%, in 21 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 200.13 and resistance is at 230.03. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PKG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PKG short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on October 1, 2025 at 218.56 and reached 206.58 on October 10, 2025. PKG lost 11.98 points, or 5.48%, in 9 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PKG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 4.68% on Friday. It is 54.76% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.28
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.98
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.50
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 78.07
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 69.23
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.21
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 230.03
Upper Bollinger Band 217.48
Parabolic System 216.52
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 213.87
20 Day Moving Average 213.28
50 Day Moving Average 208.75
Daily Stochastic Crossing 208.67
Lower Bollinger Band 207.80
Price 206.75
Monthly Trendline Support 200.13
Yearly Trendline Support 184.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Materials 2
Industry Paper Packaging 34
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 218.56
High Date 10/01/2025
Low 206.58
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 209.93
Low Date 09/16/2025
High 218.56
High Date 10/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 230.03
Support 200.13
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 220.31
High Date 09/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 250.80
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 172.70
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 300.90
Support 184.98
Low 110.56
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 250.80
High Date 11/25/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.