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- 10/10/2025 -
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Progressive Corp. (PGR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageBroken trend resistance lineThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the Progressive Corp. (PGR). During the week, the PGR dropped -5.70 points, or -2.32%, and closed at 240.00 on Friday, October 10, 2025. PGR was trading at average weekly trading volume.

PGR is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See PGR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 10, 2009 at 9.76 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -283.24 points, or -2902.05%, in 835 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (45.86) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PGR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on February 4, 2014 at 22.53 and reached 293.00 on March 17, 2025. PGR gained -270.47 points, or -1200.49%, in 579 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (145.18) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PGR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 23, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PGR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 3, 2025 at 289.96 and reached 236.75 on September 24, 2025. PGR lost 53.21 points, or 18.35%, in 113 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (236.06) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PGR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (3.72%) is close to one year low (3.43%). It is 58.06% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.02
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 47.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.83
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.29
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.82
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.23
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 31.19
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.83
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 248.42
Upper Bollinger Band 247.94
50 Day Moving Average 245.11
20 Day Moving Average 243.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 242.49
Daily Stochastic Crossing 242.34
Price 240.00
Lower Bollinger Band 239.04
Weekly Trendline Support 236.06
Weekly Trendline Resistance 231.58
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 11
Industry Property & Casualty Insurance 89
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Low 236.75
Low Date 09/24/2025
High 248.17
High Date 10/01/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 231.58
Support 236.06
High 289.96
High Date 06/03/2025
Low 236.75
Low Date 09/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Low 236.75
Low Date 09/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 172.58
Support 145.18
Low 22.53
Low Date 02/04/2014
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 53.30
Support 45.86
Low 9.76
Low Date 03/10/2009
High 293.00
High Date 03/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.